A quartet of posts to start July, all on one of my favorite topics, Global Warming, aka climate change or, to give it the original name, Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming. (CAGW).
Of course, the term CAGW is hardly used any more as the purveyors of this monstrous lie have realized that we the people are beginning to realize just what a falsehood the whole thing is.
“Climate Change” is a much more palatable phrase to the average Joe and Joan.
It matters not what fancy turn of phrase you choose; it is still a barefaced lie.
It beggars belief to me that otherwise intelligent people can still be taken in by this nonsense, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.
The facts are self-evident; there are no extremes of weather that have not occurred at some previous point in our history. All weather events are within normal historical parameters.
It has in the past been both much colder and much warmer than today.
And yet, we humans survived; WHAT A MIRACLE!
Climate changes, always has and always will, we trust and hope.
The United Nations, Governments of Nation States, special interest groups, climate activists, Government scientists; all love the theory, which they regard as fact, of course.
Save the World, order the sea back ala King Canute, seize the chance to bask in 5 minutes of fame in the morally corrupt and abjectly fawning main stream media.
A media seemingly deaf, dumb and blind to logic and counter arguments to the “warming narrative”, which must be obeyed.
George Orwell, anyone?
CAGW is the ticket to their own gravy train; snouts in the trough all.
Taxes by the dozen, International junkets by the score, while we are squeezed in the middle.
The first post below is an excerpt of an interview with John Christy, a climate scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville.
The interviewer is Grégoire Canlorbe, from the climate-realist association in France.
I have included only two questions from Grégoire but found them both of particular interest.
The English journal Friends of Science has the full interview, should you wish to follow further.
A conversation with John Christy, for Association des climato-réalistes
Guest interview by Grégoire Canlorbe
John Raymond Christy is a climate scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) whose chief interests are satellite remote sensing of global climate and global climate change. In February 2019 he was named as a member of the EPA Science Advisory Board.
In May 2019 he was interviewed by Grégoire Canlorbe for Association des climato-réalistes, the only climate-realist association in France. The conversation was first published in the French journal Valeurs Actuelles(in a French edited version), and on Friends of Science(in the original English version).
Grégoire Canlorbe: You have been at pains to show that climate models are over-predicting warming by roughly a factor of two. Could you come back to this alleged falsification?
John Christy: We should be applying the scientific method to claims scientists (and others) are making about the climate. In this case I downloaded the output from 102 climate model simulations used by the IPCC and compared the tropospheric temperature since 1979 between the models and several observational datasets, including the satellite dataset we generate. The models on average were warming the atmosphere at a rate significantly greater than the observations. This is a test result from which we can say the models failed, and thus one shouldn’t depend on model output to characterize the future climate.
Grégoire Canlorbe: It is not uncommon—in some Christian circles—to conceive of the Darwinian theory of evolution as a state-sponsored hoax comparable to man-caused global warming. Both would be pseudo-scientific perspectives denying the divine character of man and the presence of Providence in the universe—and leading to idolize the state. As a Protestant scientist, how do you assess this opinion?
John Christy: This is an interesting question. Please note that a scientist using the scientific method should generate a reproduceable result whether he/she is a Baptist (like me), a Buddhist or a Baha’i. The scientific issues about climate are based on measurements we make to test claims, not on an opinion one might have. When it comes to policy that directly affects people, especially the poor, we now must consider non-scientific issues such as: is it proper to inflict hardship on those who can least afford it by following policies that demonstrably will not impact the climate?
It is not in our best interest to appeal to religious feelings when dealing with issues that are available for scientific testing. As the average person knows, there are a multitude of religious opinions today, but a scientific test should have results to which all rational people, religious or not, should be able to acknowledge.
As somebody once said, whether you adhere to a Darwinian theory of evolution, or have belief in a Creator, both require a huge leap of faith.
There is no complete and compelling evidence to support either.
You could also argue the two are not mutually exclusive.
Interesting question by Mr. Canlorbe.
In the second article below, esteemed climate scientist Dr. Roy Spencer blasts apart more nonsense from the warmunists with regard to water levels in the Great Lakes of North America.
Despite their predictions of the Lakes drying up and emptying out, the reality is the Lakes are now at record highs.
These “climate weirding” fruit loops will seize upon anything at all to push their misguided agenda.
Roy Spencer is once again a beacon of reason amongst the climate lie chaos.
Contrary to Global Warming Predictions, Great Lakes Water Levels Now at Record Highs
June 27th, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
It is a truism that any observed change in nature will be blamed by some experts on global warming (aka “climate change”, “climate crisis”, “climate emergency”).
When the Great Lakes water levels were unusually low from approximately 2000 through 2012 or so, this was pointed to as evidence that global warming was causing the Great Lakes to dry up.
The accompanying text called this the “lake bottom”, as if Lake Michigan (which averages 279 feet deep) had somehow dried up.
Then in a matter of two years, low lake levels were replaced with high lake levels. The cause (analysis here) was a combination of unusually high precipitation (contrary to global warming theory) and an unusually cold winter that caused the lakes to mostly freeze over, reducing evaporation.
Now, as of this month (June, 2019), ALL of the Great Lakes have reached record high levels.
Time To Change The Story
So, how shall global warming alarmists explain this observational defiance of their predictions?
Simple! They just invoke “climate weirding”, and claim that the climate emergency has caused water levels to become more erratic, to see-saw, to become more variable!
The trouble is that there is that there is no good evidence in the last 100 years that this is happening. This plot of the four major lake systems (Huron and Michigan are at the same level, connected at the Straits of Mackinac) shows no increased variability since levels have been accurately monitored (data from NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory):
This is just one more example of how unscientific many global warming claims have become. Both weather and climate are nonlinear dynamical systems, capable of producing changes without any ‘forcing’ from increasing CO2 or the Sun. Change is normal.
What is abnormal is blaming every change in nature we don’t like on human activities. That’s what happened in medieval times, when witches were blamed for storms, droughts, etc.
One would hope we progressed beyond that mentality.
I am not convinced that we have, Roy..
Topic #3 shows the UN for what it is, a political playground for those with a particular agenda to push.
This headline from June 30 1989 could have been written yesterday.
It all comes back to the same playbook, though.
Control of the many by the few; in this case using so called “global warming” as the Trojan Horse.
Just a little unnerving to realize they have been at it for 30+ years.
Same old lies, same old hysteria.
When will we ever learn; they are like rust, never give up.
Not until their New World Order (NWO) has been imposed.
This why our freedoms are under attack and our taxes are increasing, at least in my part of the World!
30 Year Anniversary of the UN 1989 “10 years to save the world” Climate Warning
UN 30 years fake warnings
Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Global warming was not reversed by the year 2000 – yet we are still here.
U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 30, 1989
UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.
Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees,′ ′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.
He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.
As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.
Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.
″Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?″ he said.
Link to a PDF copy of the AP article, in case the original is “disappeared”.
Gobbledegook from 30 years ago.
My fourth and final post for today, deals with a “Surprising Summer Chill” experienced this June in parts of Europe, the USA, and even Australia.
As we know now, Europe is currently in the grip of a “heatwave” .
This all goes to show that weather around the World is variable, unpredictable and affected by far more systems and occurrences than any computer model can predict.
It is worth pointing out that the whole global warming scam is predicated solely on computer models.
Real World empirical evidence is in short supply in this agenda driven argument.
Surprising Summer Chill Baffles Global Warming Alarmists
From the “summer colds are the worst” department
Guest essay by Vijay Jayaraj
A surprising late-June chill broke records for lowest temperatures and made life miserable for many across the world. From Denver, Colorado, in the United States, to Melbourne in Australia, the mercury dropped precipitously.
Many people in Colorado woke up to what would be the state’s coldest first day of summer in 90 years. Up to two feet of snow fell in some places, making authorities issue a winter weather advisory on the first day of summer. Denver especially has been at the center of focus. Record cold caught city dwellers off guard. This year has been the “city’s coldest start to a calendar year since 1983.”
The National Weather Service reported the coldest maximum temperature during the second half of June since 1992 at Chicago’s O’Hare Airport, and news outlets reported that it wasunusual for the windy city to experience such low temperatures in the beginning of summer.
On the other side of the world, Australia saw many cities record their coldest first few weeks of winter. Melbourne, on June 23, recorded its lowest maximum for the date since 1985.
But the cooling observed is not just limited to the surface temperatures.
There has been a remarkable cooling in the global oceans, especially the Atlantic and the Pacific. This was totally unexpected, as scientists had forecast a strong warming in the oceans for this month, a weather condition called El Niño.
Experts are divided on what this cold phase actually points to. It might be just a one-off, localized, short-term weather phenomenon, or it might reflect a longer, global-scale climate shift.
Either way it contradicts alarmists’ claims of a warming world. If it were a mere weather phenomenon, then it would mean global warming would result in cold phases (like those in June, May, and earlier months this year), not warmer phases, as claimed by the alarmists. That means climate change will result in cold phases like the ones we’ve been observing in the past two years.
In contrast, if these cold phases are an indicator of a longer climatic shift, then there is no drastic warming but a global cooling.
We might be headed to what NASA describes as a period of “solar minimum,” with temperatures akin to the Little Ice Age that froze Northern Europe in the 16th century.
In its official June 12 communication, NASA stated, “The Sun’s activity rises and falls in an 11-year cycle. The forecast for the next solar cycle says it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. The maximum of this next cycle – measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of solar activity level – could be 30 to 50% lower than the most recent one.”
Regardless of whether these cold phases are precursors to a longer cooling period or not, late-June cooling (like similar cooling periods in the past two years) certainly runs contrary to the claim that the world is getting hotter or warmer every year.
After the brief spike in temperatures during the El Niño-driven warmth of 2016, temperatures have fallen globally. This post-2016 two-year cooling resonates and coheres with the overall lull in the warming that scientists have observed during the past two decades, in which spikes in global temperature occurred only when El Niño was active.
It will be interesting to observe how the summer plays out and whether the solar inactivity predicted by NASA will make the 2019–20 winter colder than the ones before.
Vijay Jayaraj (M.Sc., Environmental Science, University of East Anglia, England), Research Associate for Developing Countries for the Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation, lives in Bangalore, India.
That’s all for today, folks!